I am a behavioral economist at the Chair of Macroeconomics at TU Berlin. I specialize in surveys and experimental methods to study how people form beliefs, interact with each other, and ultimately make choices in complex environments.
Publications
- Investigating the analytical robustness of the social and behavioural sciences (joint with Balazs Aczel, Barnabas Szaszi, et al., crowdsourced) Nature (2026, 652, 135-142)
- Direct Elicitation of Parametric Belief Distributions: An application to inflation expectations (joint with Pedro Gonzalez-Fernandez and Thomas Meissner) Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2025, 233, p.106947)
- Click here to give it a try and download the files to implement it
- Risk-Taking under Limited Liability and Moral Hazard: Quantifying the Role of Motivated Beliefs (joint with Daniel Gietl and Frank Heinemann) Management Science (2024, 71(2):976-991)
- Non-Standard Errors (joint with Menkveld et al., crowdsourced) Journal of Finance (2024, 79, 2339-2390)
- Reproducibility in Management Science (joint with Fišar et al., crowdsourced) Management Science (2024, 70(3), 1343-1356)
- Motivated Beliefs, Social Preferences, and Limited Liability in Financial Decision-Making (joint with Steffen Ahrens) Journal of Banking & Finance (2023, 154, 106846)
- Coordination under Loss Contracts (joint with Steffen Ahrens and Lea Bitter) Games and Economic Behavior (2023, 137, 270-293)
- Intertemporal Consumption and Debt Aversion: A Replication and Extension (joint with Steffen Ahrens and Thomas Meissner) Journal of the Economic Science Association (2022, 8, 56-84)
- Cognitive Finance (joint with Brice Corgnet) Handbook of Experimental Finance (2022, Ch. 7, 73-88)
- The One Player Guessing Game: A diagnosis on the relationship between equilibrium play, stated beliefs, and best responses (joint with Thomas Meissner) Experimental Economics (2020, 23, 1129–1147)
- Equality Over Intentionality: the normative social preferences of neutral third parties PLOS ONE (13(11))
- That’s how we roll: an experiment on rollover risk Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2018, 145, 495-510)
- Cognitive Bubbles (joint with Thomas Meissner and Antoni Bosch-Domenech) Experimental Economics (2018, 21, 1, 132-153)
- Intolerable Nuisances: Some Laboratory Evidence on Survivor Curve Shapes (joint with Christina Aperjis, Dan Friedman, and Bernardo Huberman) Experimental Economics (2017, 20, 3, 601-621)
Working Papers
- New !! Different Consumption Responses to Equivalent Changes in the Real Interest Rate (joint with Frank Heinemann, Thomas Meissner, and Baptiste Massenot)
- New !! The Path to a Lie
- New version !! Overprecision and Subjectively Rational Inattention (joint with Muhammed Bulutay and Bernhard Kassner) r&r at JPE:Micro
- New version !! Overconfidence and the Political and Financial Behavior of a Representative Sample (joint with Bernhard Kassner and Steffen Ahrens) r&r at Management Science
Work in Progress
- Fake News across Europe (joint with Guillem Riambau and Daniel Montolio)
- Contagious Beliefs (joint with Leyi Tu)
- Prosocial Bundling (joint with Peiran Jiao and Tingting Wu)
Sleeping Dogs Lying
click to wake them up
- Hotelling’s Minimum Differentiation Principle in a Continuous-Time Experiment with Price and Location Choices (joint with Curtis Kephart and Liam Rose)
- Price Dynamics and Trader Overconfidence (joint with Steffen Ahrens and Rasmus Pank)
- Observability, Honesty, and the Social Image Costs of Lying (joint with Levent Neyse and Daniele Nosenzo)